..............For others, the prospect of a new operation in Syria is hard to dismiss because of Erdogan’s growing political and economic woes at home, which could push him into another military adventure to distract the public and stoke nationalist sentiments.
The perception that Ankara is setting the stage for a military campaign was also fueled when five mortar shells fired from Syria by unknown perpetrators landed in the Turkish border town of Karkamis, causing no casualties. The incident brought to mind an audio recording leaked in 2014, in which Turkey’s intelligence chief purportedly described how he could stage a missile attack on Turkey from Syria to provide a pretext for war.
Erdogan’s outburst is a response also to US President Joe Biden, who last week charged that Turkey’s actions in Syria threatened US national security and interests. By arguing that Turkey is under attack, Erdogan is seeking to turn up pressure on Washington to end support for the Syrian Kurds as he prepares to meet with Biden in the margins of the G-20 summit in Rome later this month.
https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2021/10/erdogan-threatens-fresh-military-campaign-syria